Reproduction success

Of the 5 items in the scope, 100% (5 out of 5) were considered to be successfully reproduced.

We do not have permission to upload and reuse images from the article, so please refer to the journal publication to view the figures and tables mentioned below from Wood et al. (2021).

Time-to-completion

Non-interactive plot:

Interactive plot:

Figure 4

Consensus: Successfully reproduced

Table 4

Consensus: Successfully reproduced

scenario policy policy_param crit type1 type2 type3 total total_ly
0 unmitigated 1 NaN baseline 455 (131 to 1178) 0 (0 to 0) 54 (37 to 75) 509 (180 to 1237) 12968 (4504 to 31634)
1 unmitigated 1 NaN 50 +54 (49 to 61) 0 (0 to 0) -39 (-50 to -30) +15 (9 to 24) -521 (-763 to -21)
2 unmitigated 1 NaN 60 +27 (23 to 27) 0 (0 to 0) -25 (-33 to -20) +2 (-9 to 5) -501 (-761 to -483)
3 unmitigated 1 NaN 70 +10 (8 to 9) 0 (0 to 0) -11 (-14 to -9) -1 (-5 to 2) -240 (-316 to -303)
4 unmitigated 1 NaN 80 +2 (0 to 5) 0 (0 to 0) -2 (-3 to -2) +0 (-3 to -2) -41 (-229 to 6)
5 unmitigated 2 6.0 50 +22 (22 to 24) 0 (0 to 0) -22 (-30 to -16) 0 (-4 to 7) -770 (-1178 to -469)
6 unmitigated 2 6.0 60 +13 (13 to 13) 0 (0 to 0) -16 (-22 to -12) -3 (-8 to 0) -540 (-641 to -436)
7 unmitigated 2 6.0 70 +5 (-4 to 2) 0 (0 to 0) -8 (-11 to -7) -3 (-6 to -5) -247 (-506 to -290)
8 unmitigated 2 6.0 80 +1 (1 to 3) 0 (0 to 0) -1 (-3 to -1) +0 (0 to 0) -34 (-59 to 136)
9 unmitigated 2 3.0 50 +13 (10 to 11) 0 (0 to 0) -17 (-23 to -14) -4 (-7 to 3) -808 (-1076 to -434)
10 unmitigated 2 3.0 60 +8 (7 to 14) 0 (0 to 0) -13 (-18 to -10) -5 (-5 to -2) -551 (-581 to -572)
11 unmitigated 2 3.0 70 +4 (3 to 4) 0 (0 to 0) -6 (-9 to -5) -3 (0 to 1) -233 (-254 to -247)
12 unmitigated 2 3.0 80 +1 (1 to 2) 0 (0 to 0) -1 (-3 to -1) 0 (-2 to 1) -32 (-55 to 127)
13 unmitigated 3 NaN 50 -43 (-58 to -32) +50 (26 to 71) -16 (-22 to -12) -10 (-16 to -7) -1070 (-1516 to -708)
14 unmitigated 3 NaN 60 -36 (-48 to -35) +41 (26 to 58) -12 (-17 to -10) -8 (-8 to -7) -673 (-822 to -614)
15 unmitigated 3 NaN 70 -17 (-24 to -18) +20 (11 to 30) -6 (-10 to -4) -3 (-3 to -2) -270 (-494 to -242)
16 unmitigated 3 NaN 80 -2 (-4 to -1) +3 (0 to 7) -1 (-4 to -1) 0 (-2 to 1) -48 (-227 to 90)
17 lockdown 1 NaN baseline 303 (49 to 888) 0 (0 to 0) 100 (54 to 158) 403 (116 to 1014) 10033 (2751 to 25817)
18 lockdown 1 NaN 50 +136 (113 to 137) 0 (0 to 0) -79 (-116 to -48) +57 (44 to 55) +316 (-848 to 988)
19 lockdown 1 NaN 60 +65 (59 to 63) 0 (0 to 0) -50 (-73 to -31) +15 (10 to 21) -555 (-1323 to 13)
20 lockdown 1 NaN 70 +23 (18 to 24) 0 (0 to 0) -21 (-30 to -15) +2 (-1 to 6) -351 (-725 to -113)
21 lockdown 1 NaN 80 +3 (5 to 23) 0 (0 to 0) -3 (-3 to -1) +1 (3 to 12) -57 (-26 to 22)
22 lockdown 2 6.0 50 +47 (38 to 51) 0 (0 to 0) -36 (-62 to -17) +11 (-1 to 14) -667 (-2201 to 45)
23 lockdown 2 6.0 60 +27 (22 to 26) 0 (0 to 0) -29 (-51 to -14) -2 (-3 to 8) -783 (-1343 to -195)
24 lockdown 2 6.0 70 +11 (11 to 13) 0 (0 to 0) -13 (-22 to -6) -2 (0 to 3) -369 (-338 to -156)
25 lockdown 2 6.0 80 +1 (2 to 4) 0 (0 to 0) -1 (-4 to 0) +0 (-1 to 4) -57 (-50 to 59)
26 lockdown 2 3.0 50 +24 (15 to 36) 0 (0 to 0) -24 (-42 to -9) +0 (-6 to 1) -839 (-1869 to -261)
27 lockdown 2 3.0 60 +16 (12 to 21) 0 (0 to 0) -21 (-38 to -11) -5 (-11 to 3) -768 (-1310 to -237)
28 lockdown 2 3.0 70 +7 (2 to 7) 0 (0 to 0) -10 (-18 to -6) -4 (-7 to -1) -373 (-485 to -319)
29 lockdown 2 3.0 80 +1 (1 to 1) 0 (0 to 0) -1 (-5 to 0) 0 (0 to 5) -54 (1 to 67)
30 lockdown 3 NaN 50 -49 (-100 to -13) +55 (9 to 123) -16 (-30 to -5) -10 (-22 to 0) -1177 (-2591 to -278)
31 lockdown 3 NaN 60 -54 (-84 to -27) +61 (21 to 117) -19 (-33 to -10) -11 (-16 to -6) -1006 (-1613 to -470)
32 lockdown 3 NaN 70 -29 (-42 to -16) +32 (12 to 60) -9 (-17 to -5) -6 (-8 to -1) -447 (-599 to -199)
33 lockdown 3 NaN 80 -4 (-5 to -1) +5 (1 to 11) -1 (-2 to 0) -1 (-2 to 1) -71 (-197 to -33)
34 cyclical 1 NaN baseline 412 (39 to 1276) 0 (0 to 0) 118 (54 to 167) 531 (101 to 1435) 13264 (2362 to 36507)
35 cyclical 1 NaN 50 +155 (104 to 136) 0 (0 to 0) -92 (-115 to -48) +63 (22 to 52) +163 (-2339 to 996)
36 cyclical 1 NaN 60 +72 (58 to 60) 0 (0 to 0) -58 (-69 to -33) +14 (-5 to 21) -768 (-1843 to 86)
37 cyclical 1 NaN 70 +25 (22 to 35) 0 (0 to 0) -24 (-29 to -14) +1 (-2 to 7) -451 (-640 to -36)
38 cyclical 1 NaN 80 +3 (0 to 6) 0 (0 to 0) -3 (-5 to -1) +0 (0 to 1) -77 (13 to 21)
39 cyclical 2 6.0 50 +58 (24 to 78) 0 (0 to 0) -45 (-69 to -11) +13 (-10 to 9) -857 (-3036 to 6)
40 cyclical 2 6.0 60 +33 (16 to 50) 0 (0 to 0) -35 (-52 to -9) -1 (-16 to 4) -931 (-1938 to -89)
41 cyclical 2 6.0 70 +13 (3 to 13) 0 (0 to 0) -16 (-25 to -4) -3 (-12 to 0) -452 (-809 to -84)
42 cyclical 2 6.0 80 +2 (-1 to 12) 0 (0 to 0) -2 (-3 to 1) +0 (0 to 4) -59 (-39 to 151)
43 cyclical 2 3.0 50 +29 (8 to 43) 0 (0 to 0) -30 (-51 to -6) -1 (-14 to 5) -1052 (-2940 to -12)
44 cyclical 2 3.0 60 +19 (5 to 31) 0 (0 to 0) -25 (-43 to -6) -6 (-16 to 1) -930 (-1956 to -167)
45 cyclical 2 3.0 70 +9 (2 to 13) 0 (0 to 0) -13 (-24 to -3) -4 (-1 to 0) -428 (-731 to -24)
46 cyclical 2 3.0 80 +2 (-1 to 7) 0 (0 to 0) -2 (-3 to 1) 0 (1 to 4) -53 (-37 to 126)
47 cyclical 3 NaN 50 -64 (-135 to -11) +72 (6 to 167) -20 (-37 to -3) -12 (-26 to -3) -1493 (-3346 to -177)
48 cyclical 3 NaN 60 -69 (-115 to -19) +77 (15 to 142) -22 (-39 to -4) -13 (-21 to -3) -1220 (-2083 to -281)
49 cyclical 3 NaN 70 -35 (-54 to -18) +40 (9 to 71) -12 (-19 to -2) -7 (-3 to -1) -537 (-812 to -119)
50 cyclical 3 NaN 80 -5 (-7 to 12) +6 (1 to 14) -2 (-4 to 0) -1 (0 to 6) -77 (13 to 25)

Figure 5

Consensus: Successfully reproduced

Figure 6

Consensus: Successfully reproduced

Figure 7

Consensus: Successfully reproduced

References

Wood, Richard M., Adrian C. Pratt, Charlie Kenward, Christopher J. McWilliams, Ross D. Booton, Matthew J. Thomas, Christopher P. Bourdeaux, and Christos Vasilakis. 2021. “The Value of Triage During Periods of Intense COVID-19 Demand: Simulation Modeling Study.” Medical Decision Making 41 (4): 393–407. https://doi.org/10.1177/0272989X21994035.